Monday, November 26, 2007

"Electability" Measure

This guy emailed me in response to one of my columns, and he's made an interesting analysis. I haven't checked his results, but he's backed out the implied conditional probability of someone winning the general election once becoming the Republican or Democratic nominee. Al Gore is an astounding 100%, while Ron Paul leads the Republicans (as of early November) at over 40%. Any theories?

1 comment:

  1. Anonymous7:37 PM

    I want to have a lot of wow gold so i will go to earn the World of Warcraft Gold to make me strong. i like the warcraft gold very much, i can buy wow gold and then i can always get some cheap wow gold in the game.


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