"I will try to express myself in some mode of life or art as freely as I can and as wholly as I can, using for my defense the only arms I allow myself to use -- silence, exile, and cunning." -- James Joyce
The Limits of Forecasting
This is a graphic of various computer models' forecasts of Joaquin track over the next six days:
At this point,the forecasters are pretty sure the storm is not going to hit Texas, Mexico, or Jamaica, but beyond that, almost anything looks possible.