“Silence will save me from being wrong (and foolish), but it will also deprive me of the possibility of being right.” -- Igor Stravinsky
Friday, November 14, 2008
This Is Unbelievable
Some chump over at some "advice" blog links to video of a series of "esteemed" commentators basically laughing in Peter Schiff's face as he predicts the financial future to a tee! I think everyone who reads this should write Ben Stein a letter and ask what he thinks of his call that Merrill Lynch was being "given away" at $76 now that the stock is at $14. The man should never comment on anything other than eye drops again in his life.
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Annoying Silas time:
ReplyDeleteHow about the theory of evolution? Should Ben Stein continue to comment on that?
Also, while Schiff did get a lot right, he also -- at least so far -- has gotten a lot wrong too. He predicted that Europe and Asia would be able to just point and laugh while American stocks tank, when they have in fact done worse. He predicted that the dollar would depreciate as a result of the crisis, when so far it's done better (save against the [Y]en).
He predicted a flight to precious metals, which have stagnated, and a continued rally of commodities, which have tanked. And let's not forget the yields on Treasurys and the lack of hyperinflation...
Now, there's still a chance these things could happen -- but it'll be a while before we can say he predicted it with the precision you imply.
"How about the theory of evolution? Should Ben Stein continue to comment on that?"
ReplyDeleteNo, just eye drops. Didn't I already say that?
Predictions: I was focusing on the predictions in the video clips, which were the one's being laughed at, not other predictions I didn't know about that he made elsewhere.
"He predicted a flight to precious metals, which have stagnated..."
After going up to where he said they would!
In any case, my point was not to claim Schiff was a genius, but that these other folks were real jerks -- and not for getting it wrong -- anyone could -- but for treating Schiff with such contempt.
Exactly, Gene. (And I'm not a chump!) It's fine to disagree with somebody, but those guys were literally laughing at him--I loved when the one guy said, "What lax lending standards are you talking about, Peter?!"
ReplyDeleteAnd dangit Silas, I was wondering when someone was going to bring up Stein's endorsement of ID. For what it's worth, I deferred to Tim Swanson (and maybe you? I can't remember) who warned me that his movie was goofy. (I haven't seen it.)
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