I don't believe offers a bet such as the one I am offering. That guest author over at Murphy's site claims Paul is really even with Romney in delegates. I'm saying, "OK, I'll spot you 500, and bet he is still not even!"
If he really believes what he says, why would he not take this bet?
Intrade does offer a "Ron Paul to be GOP nominee" market. An even bet for $1,000 - albeit with a 500 delegate handicap - looks downright stingy given the 100 to 1 odds Intrade is giving.
I'm sure if you sweetened the deal to 50 to 1, you'd have some takers.
I'm not sure how you can translate a bet with odds into a bet with points like that. But, in any case, given that the people I was offering the bet to thought Paul was even with Romney, being given 500 delegates should have been a pretty good deal.
Cruel to be kind means that I love you . Because, while I think you are mistaken, your hearts are in the right place -- yes, even you, Silas -- unlike some people . This Breitbart fellow (discussed in the link above), by all appearances, deliberately doctored a video of Shirley Sherrod to make her remarks appear virulently racist, when they had, in fact, the opposite import. I heard that at a recent Austrian conference, some folks were talking about "Callahan's conservative turn." While that description is not entirely inaccurate, I must say that a lot of these people who today call themselves conservative give me the heebie-jeebies.
I am currently reading The Master and His Emissary , which appears to be an excellent book. ("Appears" because I don't know the neuroscience literature well enough to say for sure, yet.) But then on page 186 I find: "Asking cognition, however, to give a perspective on the relationship between cognition and affect is like asking astronomer in the pre-Galilean geocentric world, whether, in his opinion, the sun moves round the earth of the earth around the sun. To ask a question alone would be enough to label one as mad." OK, this is garbage. First of all, it should be pre-Copernican, not pre-Galilean. But much worse is that people have seriously been considering heliocentrism for many centuries before Copernicus. Aristarchus had proposed a heliocentric model in the 4th-century BC. It had generally been considered wrong, but not "mad." (And wrong for scientific reasons: Why, for instance, did we not observe stellar parallax?) And when Copernicus propose
Probably because the betting man gets vastly better odds from Intrade.
ReplyDeleteI don't believe offers a bet such as the one I am offering. That guest author over at Murphy's site claims Paul is really even with Romney in delegates. I'm saying, "OK, I'll spot you 500, and bet he is still not even!"
ReplyDeleteIf he really believes what he says, why would he not take this bet?
Intrade does offer a "Ron Paul to be GOP nominee" market. An even bet for $1,000 - albeit with a 500 delegate handicap - looks downright stingy given the 100 to 1 odds Intrade is giving.
ReplyDeleteI'm sure if you sweetened the deal to 50 to 1, you'd have some takers.
I'm not sure how you can translate a bet with odds into a bet with points like that. But, in any case, given that the people I was offering the bet to thought Paul was even with Romney, being given 500 delegates should have been a pretty good deal.
DeleteIt is good, but not as good as available from Intrade. Not even close.
Delete